UPDATE 2-Mexico central bank flags social unrest risks, holds key interest rate steady

viernes 31 de octubre de 2014 13:07 GYT
 

(Adds details on peso, inflation)

By Michael O'Boyle and Alexandra Alper

MEXICO CITY Oct 31 (Reuters) - Mexico's central bank kept interest rates on hold on Friday and argued that a recent spike in inflation would quickly fade next year while flagging the risk that social unrest in the country could dampen a modest recovery.

The Banco de Mexico maintained its benchmark interest rate at a record low of 3 percent, as expected by 15 of 16 analysts polled by Reuters.

Policymakers said the growth outlook was the same as in their last meeting in September when they noted that economic activity had improved. Mexico is expected by economists to grow around 2.5 percent in 2014 after a weak start to the year.

Among the risks that could lower consumer price pressures, the central bank noted, "the possibility of less dynamic economic activity than forecast in case recent social events in the country affect the expectations of economic agents."

Protesters have taken to the streets in the past month since 43 students were abducted by police in southwest Mexico on Sept. 26. The search for the missing students has derailed President Enrique Pena Nieto's efforts to focus on economic reforms.

Annual inflation in Mexico accelerated to a nine-month high of 4.32 percent in early October, above the bank's 4 percent ceiling, but policymakers said on Friday they expect inflation to ease back toward their 3 percent target by mid-next year.

Mexico's peso slumped to a 2-1/2 year low in mid-October and has recovered slightly since then.   Continuación...