Peru's economy likely grew 1.15 pct in August -analysts

lunes 13 de octubre de 2014 16:14 GYT

By Ursula Scollo

LIMA Oct 13 (Reuters) - Peru's economy likely grew by 1.15 percent in August from the same month in 2013, at about the same pace as in July, as mining activity shrank for a fifth straight month, a Reuters poll showed on Monday.

The estimates of 14 local and foreign analysts ranged from an August expansion of between 0.5 percent to 2.3 percent.

The median forecast of 1.15 percent would be slightly under the 1.16 percent year-on-year expansion in July, the month the government had pinpointed as the start of the economy's recovery from its weakest growth rate in five years.

The forecast for August comes in well below the 5.72 percent expansion posted in the same month in 2013, when the economy grew by 5.8 percent in the full year.

Peru is on track to post an expansion of around 3 percent this year, about half of initial estimates by the government and central bank of around 6 percent.

Lower metal prices and China's slowdown have eaten into growth rates in Peru that averaged 6.4 percent annually in the past decade.

Growth in August was led by retail and services and dragged down by falling mining and fishing activity, preliminary government data showed.

Analysts said construction and manufacturing were still weak in August, though performed slightly better than in July.   Continuación...