EMERGING MARKETS-Stocks add to mini-revival, Brazil waits on c.bank signals

miércoles 23 de diciembre de 2015 07:18 GYT

By Marc Jones

LONDON Dec 23 (Reuters) - Emerging market stocks saw their sixth rise in seven days on Wednesday as investors looked for some last minute bargains in an area that has lost almost 17 percent this year.

With trading volumes minimal ahead of festive holidays it was impossible to say how long the mini-revival would last, though there was a general sense among EM followers that 2016 is unlikely to be as difficult as 2015 has been.

MSCI's closely-followed 23-country index topped the 800 point level as it rose 0.8 percent, but the day's big focus was on Brazil, one of the heavyweights that has been hardest hit during this year's turmoil.

Its central bank is due to publish a new inflation report later which is likely to signal whether it will have to hike interest rates next month in an already beleaguered economy.

The real was hovering just off a record low hit in September. It has lost over 30 percent since the start of the year as a recession has been exacerbated by a series of scandals that has engulfed President Dilma Rousseff.

"We expect the central bank to increase expected inflation for 2016 and 2017 and that is probably going to have immediate implications for its January meeting," said Cristian Maggio, head of emerging markets strategy at T.D. Securities.

"If the real gets any weaker between now and the meeting, it would definitely increases the chances of a hike," he added, saying it could be between 50 and 75 basis points.

Elsewhere, Turkey's lira steadied at 2.9268 having taken a 1 percent tumble on Tuesday after the country's central bank opted not to raise interest rates despite inflation running at over 8 percent.   Continuación...