29 de noviembre de 2016 / 10:02 / en un año

BRIEF-Fitch says political risk looms large for global sovereigns in 2017

Nov 29 (Reuters) -

* Fitch: Political risk looms large for global sovereigns 2017

* Fitch - Expect global GDP growth to increase to 2.9% in 2017, from 2.5% in 2016

* Fitch-Forecast of 2017 U.S. growth to 2.2%, from 1.5%, reflects partly assessment of impact of President-Elect Trump’s proposed reflationary policies

* Fitch - Overall outlook for Fitch’s sovereign ratings in 2017 is stable.

* Fitch - Global sovereigns face high levels of political risk and uncertainty in 2017 by election of President-Elect Donald Trump in U.S. and UK’s Brexit vote

* Fitch - “Trade War” between U.S. and China would have adverse consequences for GDP growth and inflation in both countries

* Fitch - Economic recovery in largest EM countries should gain momentum in 2017 as crises in Brazil and Russia ease

* Fitch - Expect slowdown in China’s growth rate to continue on a gradual path, reducing to 6.4% in 2017 from 6.7% in 2016

* Fitch- China will remain committed to its growth target of approximately 6.5%

* Fitch- Fiscal impact of Trump plan would likely be negative for U.S. sovereign creditworthiness over medium term

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