5 de mayo de 2015 / 10:55 / en 3 años

UPDATE 3-Itaú bets on prudence as Brazil heads for steep recession

(Recasts with executive comments, share performance throughout)

By Guillermo Parra-Bernal

SAO PAULO, May 5 (Reuters) - Itaú Unibanco Holding SA is provisioning more for loan losses and curbing loan book growth in a bet that careful risk management will help the bank navigate Brazil’s steepest recession in over two decades.

Even after posting stronger-than-expected first-quarter profit, Itaú felt the pinch of a shrinking economy as provisions soared in the wake of a jump in defaults from large corporate borrowers.

Chief Executive Officer Roberto Setubal cut expenses and set aside more profit to help cover problematic loans in the future. The tougher outlook for Brazil, whose economy may shrink this year at the steepest pace since 1992, led Itaú to revise some operational estimates “to the downside,” said Marcelo Kopel, the bank’s head of investor relations.

Itaú cut its loan book growth outlook while increasing loan-loss provision expenses this year by an average 22.5 percent to a range between 15 billion reais and 18 billion reais. Shares fell 0.7 percent on Tuesday, reflecting concern about some of those trends.

Last week, private-sector rivals Banco Santander Brasil SA and Banco Bradesco SA said they expect provisions to remain relatively stable through year-end. Part of the 46 percent surge in gross provisions at Itau last quarter took place following a reclassification of riskier corporate borrowers.

“We continue to see headwinds building, which will likely be more apparent this quarter,” said Carlos Macedo, an analyst with Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

Recurring net income, or profit excluding one-time items, was 5.808 billion reais ($1.88 billion) in the quarter, compared with a Reuters poll estimate of 5.590 billion reais. Recurring return on equity came in at 24.5 percent, compared with the poll’s 23.4 percent estimate.

Itaú’s coverage ratio, or the measure of reserves for bad loans, rose to 200 percent in the quarter, underscoring Setubal’s penchant for prudent risk management. Strict credit risk controls drove loan delinquencies down to a record low 3 percent, the 11th consecutive quarterly decline.

Interest income was propelled by surging income from trading, while net interest margin, the average interest charged on loans, slipped amid declining demand for credit. Gross loan-loss provisions climbed after loan renegotiations fell to their lowest since at least 2011.

Short-term defaults, a forward-looking proxy for delinquencies, rose sharply in the first quarter. The jump, which topped Itaú’s expectations, might subside in coming months as tighter credit risk standards scare away the least creditworthy borrowers, Kopel said.

$1 = 3.0875 Brazilian reais Additional reporting by Aluísio Alves in São Paulo; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Christian Plumb

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