(Corrects source of revenue losses in paragraph 7)
By Luc Cohen
NEW YORK, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Brazil’s Vale SA said November’s deadly mining disaster could cost it at least $443 million, but it was too early to put a price tag on what it expects to be a long clean-up from the pollution spilled in the dam burst.
In a presentation preparing investors for what it expects to be a difficult 2016, the world’s largest iron ore producer said it planned to cut capital investments to about $6 billion, down by about a third from 2015 plans.
Chief Executive Officer Murilo Ferreira said environmental recovery from the disaster on Nov. 5 at the Samarco joint venture co-owned with BHP Billiton Ltd would take time and a lot of help.
“We acknowledge the seriousness of the moment and we are committed to helping and already engaged in joint coordination,” he said at the company’s annual “Vale Day” event in New York.
The disaster, described by the government as Brazil’s worst-ever environmental disaster, killed at least 13 people and flooded thick mud across two states. Toxic materials such as arsenic were found in river water days after the dam burst.
The ultimate financial costs of the incident could be far higher than Vale’s estimate.
None of the $443 million outlined in their presentation involves legal costs. The bulk stems from production lost at another mine nearby Samarco when the dam burst also damaged a crucial conveyor belt.
Vale general counsel Clovis Torres said Vale had not yet been served with a 20 billion Brazilian reais ($5.2 billion) lawsuit filed by the Brazilian government on Monday. He said a river near the dam burst may have already been heavily polluted even before the incident.
“As soon as we identify the lawsuit and the numbers they are referring to, we will sit down with the federal government to analyze it all,” Torres said.
BHP and Samarco were also named in the suit.
During the event, Fitch Ratings put Vale on negative watch, citing expectations the company will need to provide significant financial assistance. The agency also downgraded Samarco’s debt ratings to BB- from BBB.
Vale Chief Financial Officer Luciano Siani said the downgrade was more related to the 41 percent decline in the price of iron ore .IO62-CNI=SI in the last year than the Samarco tragedy.
Ferreira said cutbacks next year were aimed at achieving positive cash flow in 2017 as the company scales back from heavy investments on an expansion of its giant Carajas iron ore mine system in the Brazilian Amazon and other projects.
Investments are falling as Vale completes iron ore, nickel, coal and copper projects begun during a recently ended commodities boom.
Annual capital investment needs are expected to drop to around $4 billion - and stay there - from the levels of $20 billion or more in 2011 and 2012, which executives said would help make the company the world’s highest-quality, lowest-cost iron ore producer.
While Vale is the world’s largest nickel producer and a major producer of copper, coal and fertilizers, iron ore provides the bulk of its revenue and profit.
Ferreira said the company’s asset-sale plan, including a sale and leaseback deal for 11 Valemax ships, the world’s largest dry bulk carriers, would help limit a potential 2016 cash-flow shortage.
Vale has been struggling to catch up with its main rivals in the seaborne iron ore trade, BHP and Rio Tinto Ltd . The Australian companies completed the bulk of their expansion plans before iron ore prices .IO62-CNI=SI started plunging in early 2014 while Vale was in the middle of its plans.
To help make up for the longer distance it must ship its iron ore, the main ingredient in steel, to top market China, Vale has continued to cut production costs.
The cash cost of Vale iron ore in China fell 3.7 percent to $31.20 a tonne in October from the $32.40 per tonne average in the third quarter. It has fallen 45 percent from $56.50 in the fourth quarter a year ago.
Vale said it expected to produce between 340 million and 350 million tonnes of iron ore in 2016, an amount that could increase to between 380 million and 400 million tonnes in 2017 and between 420 million and 450 million tonnes in 2020. (Additional reporting by Jeb Blount, Gustavo Bonato and Caroline Stauffer; editing by Jeffrey Benkoe, David Gregorio, Marguerita Choy and Andrew Hay)