April 22, 2016 / 6:01 AM / 2 years ago

UPDATE 2-Truckmaker Volvo banks on European demand as U.S. and Brazil weaken

* Q1 core profit SEK 4.46 bln vs forecast 4.14 bln

* Q1 order intake -12 pct vs consensus -14 pct

* Raises 2016 European truck market forecast

* Cuts 2016 trucks outlook for N. America, Brazil (Adds Daimler, analyst, detail)

By Niklas Pollard

STOCKHOLM, April 22 (Reuters) - Volvo forecast stronger demand in Europe but the reverse in the United States and Brazil, as cost cuts helped the Swedish truckmaker post a lower than expected dip in first quarter core profit.

Heavy-duty trucks, where Volvo is competing with Germany’s Daimler and Volkswagen, are riding strong demand across Europe and battling downturns across the Atlantic.

These simultaneous pressures are a test for a leaner Volvo, after years of cost cuts, as well as a new leadership team that cut its teeth at fierce rival Scania, which has long boasted some of the best margins in the business.

Sweden’s biggest listed company by revenues said on Friday adjusted operating earnings fell to 4.46 billion crowns ($548 million) from a year-ago 4.60 billion, topping a mean forecast of 4.14 billion in Reuters poll of analysts.

“This is a very good quarter. It is also a quarter where there were worries among investors due to Volvo’s history of large costs when altering the production rate,” Handelsbanken Capital Markets analyst Hampus Engellau said.

Volvo, which sells trucks under the Mack, Renault and UD brands as well as its own name, doubled its outlook for market growth in Europe but forecast steeper falls in North America and a Brazilian market hit by recession and political turmoil.

“The European market is performing strongly,” said Volvo CEO Martin Lundstedt, one of several former Scania executives that include his CFO and, come October, his key technology chief.

“Demand in North America is slowing from high levels. In the first quarter, the organisation did a good job in adjusting capacity for lower volumes.”

The outlook chimed with that of Daimler, whose Mercedes and Freightliner trucks go head-to-head with Volvo, which said it saw growth of about 5 percent for the medium and heavy truck segment in Europe and an around 10 percent contraction in North America.

While the need to renew ageing fleets is boosting demand in Europe, a sluggish industrial sector, soft freight data and de-stocking have hit U.S. truck sales and led Volvo to announce a 30 percent cut in its North American production in February.

The Scania “clique” at Volvo, joined this month by another old Scania hand as Volvo Cars boss Hakan Samuelsson was elected to Volvo’s board, now face the task of replicating some of their past success on a far larger scale.

This is seen bringing renewed efforts to boost efficiency across Volvo’s sprawling production system and a possible spin-off of its construction gear arm, though a deal may only be likely once hard-hit equipment demand in China stabilises. ($1 = 8.1354 Swedish crowns) (Additional reporting by Sven Nordenstam; Editing by Alistair Scrutton and Alexander Smith)

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